Mafia: Earthbound Game Over

Unreliable

if we kill cory tonight, we miss our 40% daily chance to block evil's actions...so we should pick a different target.

TMonsta

Awww I should thank you. I don't think I've ever paired abject and imbecile together before. I like it.

Unreliable

*today

TMonsta

I'm always more for taking the sure kill over the meh kill. See Mages turning town away from killing Rohan somehow for why not.

Unreliable

so, we lost jeff, poo and ness...

Unreliable

the thing is, killing cory changes our block chance from 40% to 40*x%

where x is 1/(current number of players -1)

TMonsta

Yeah, I'd still rather lessen our chances of blocking them and killing a sure baddie.

Unreliable

Yeah, I'd still rather lessen our chances of blocking them and killing a sure baddie.

why?

Unreliable

it will lessen from 40% to 8%

Rohan Castle

I'd just like to say that Rohan was the real inventor.

I want to bring this back to question. I've got too much of a head ache to verify If the inventor is even good or bad, but why would you accuse me of this? Going to pry into this.

Easter Bunny

Unreliable your Math is bad, you should feel bad.

SkyDragonX

"Abject imbecile" - Have to remember that one.

Kill #Cory
Mayor #Dole

I hope future Mods ask for night actions to be sent during daytime. It's better for many reasons.

Unreliable

lol...ok, rethinking...


80% base block
50% base starman block

40% actual starman block

2/10 chance to block a starman (thats 12 - cory and dole)

20% base random block

so, 40% * 20% = 8% chance to randomly block one of the 2 unknown starmans, compared to 40% to block cory


i guess i fixed my math now

Easter Bunny

I misread your math. Your maths were kinda right. I'd love you to lynch someone else. Go for it!

Unreliable

yeah, i'd love that too, but only if the lynched person is skydragon...

Easter Bunny

I think its just 80% now that ness is dead?

Easter Bunny

Yeah. I was right. Your math was bad.

Unreliable

80% is only chance to block a role, 50% is added multiplicatively on the chance a blocked starman has action cancelled

Unreliable

everyone, i'm making a call right here, kill skydragon today. i noticed a major flaw in my posts and i'll die tonight.

Easter Bunny

I don't feel like they stack like that. You have an 80% chance if you block me. And of 11 people left 2 are bad, and you have an 18% chance to find one.

Damdred

Kill #Cory
Mayor #Dole

Unreliable

noooooooooooooo

Unreliable

yo, i'm the girl, do my bidding basturds

Unreliable

oh well, tried hard to make people understand its better to not lynch cory...

you're all on your own now :P

Unreliable

*not to

Tormented

wtf are you even talking about unreliable o.O what makes you think sky is bad?

Unreliable

activity test... and you're all failing!

TMonsta

We can kill Sky tomorrow.

Unreliable

i'd rather not lol

MissMeadows

#KILL CORY, ZOOM!